In a recent review of new KIIS sociology, the author examines the key findings of a poll regarding Ukrainian attitudes on the war, possible compromises, and the country's prospects.
One third of Ukrainians (33%) now regard the war as hopeless and doomed—an unprecedented figure since hostilities began. Meanwhile, the majority (77%) do not see signs of victory or success, only continued difficult resistance with no positive end in sight. The author stresses that society is split: one segment leans toward pessimism, the rest to the idea of simply “holding out.”
On the possibility of ending the war through compromise—including conceding all of Donbas for peace—the data reveal a nearly even split: 54% oppose such a decision, 46% are willing to agree. The author notes that the share of compromise supporters is growing.
Another key factor is motivation: only 11% feel the number of casualties justifies refusing any concessions, while most now prioritize peace for the living, even at a cost.
Meanwhile, 55% of citizens support holding a referendum on the terms of peace. The author warns against using “faith” in peace as an analytical tool, as belief is not a rational criterion for political forecasting.
The expectation index for a renewed Russian attack remains high—more than half believe the threat will persist even after possible agreements. The author advises distinguishing between real political risks and deeply rooted collective fears.
Conclusion: KIIS data reflect a complex spectrum of public sentiment—from pessimism and fatigue to attempts at compromise and new approaches to peace and security for Ukraine.
