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Is it realistic to eliminate 50,000 Russians per month and will this help win the war?


Expert analysis on whether eliminating large numbers of Russian troops monthly can influence Ukraine’s victory, highlighting creativity and enemy problems.

An expert believes that eliminating 50,000 Russian soldiers per month is realistic and this would bring Ukraine closer to victory. In their view, war eventually becomes a matter of mathematics—if enemy losses surpass their ability to replenish troops and equipment, Ukraine moves toward victory and Russia toward defeat.

The expert points out that while Ukraine has many challenges, its difficulties are often exaggerated, and those of the enemy are downplayed. Russia is experiencing shortages in equipment and a decrease in financial incentives for new recruits, with overall payouts also falling.

They emphasize that Ukraine must leverage creativity, asymmetric tactics, and the Cossack spirit to succeed. This ability to think outside the box is seen as a key advantage over the Russian military. For instance, the successful strike against a Russian submarine in Novorossiysk is cited as the result of such innovation.

The expert concludes that with creativity, disciplined armed forces, and proper understanding of Russian weaknesses, Ukraine has a real chance at victory.