The Financial Times has disclosed the main security guarantees Ukraine may receive if a deal is signed with Russia. Despite ongoing missile attacks, negotiations between delegations continue – while a leaders' summit seems unlikely, working groups are making progress and may reach the signing of draft documents.
Amid heavy attacks on major Ukrainian cities—Kyiv, Dnipro, Odesa and Kharkiv—using 70 ballistic missiles and 450 drones, negotiations remain active. Leading Western nations, including the US, UK, France, Turkey and EU members, are preparing a three-stage reaction to a potential renewed Russian invasion: diplomatic warning, coalition response, and direct US military intervention within 72 hours after an attack.
Russia rejects these guarantees, demanding security assurances for itself. This Kremlin stance is met with skepticism, yet Moscow combines information campaigns with intense military actions. Meanwhile, Donald Trump has vowed to end India’s imports of Russian oil, while Indian authorities commit to new energy agreements. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte is visiting Kyiv amid ongoing missile attacks on the capital.
Talks are being held on temporary energy ceasefire arrangements as well as on comprehensive security assurances. The US signals negotiation progress, but skepticism remains regarding the seriousness of the intentions of all parties. Intelligence and logistics support from the West is aimed at sustaining Ukraine’s defensive capacity. In related news, a drone has crashed in Poland, and its origin is under investigation.
The main questions remain: will the draft agreements be signed, what is their real value, and what support will the Western delegation bring to Ukraine—political, military, or financial? Negotiations continue and the world closely watches these developments.