Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated that negotiations on Ukraine are approaching a "moment of truth," warning that Kyiv may be pressured to make territorial concessions, or talks could end without results. According to him, this would force Europe to support Ukraine alone in its confrontation with Russian aggression.
To prevent this scenario, Stubb suggests a deal with Donald Trump: in exchange for Europe's help in unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, Trump should provide full support to Ukraine. However, Vitaliy Portnikov points out that this idea is detached from reality, as there are no actual US-mediated negotiations, and the Kremlin's main goal is to prolong the war, not to achieve peace.
Portnikov notes Europe's limited military resources and that US actions depend on internal interests and the situation with Iran. Continued conflict in the Persian Gulf could further complicate military-technical support for Ukraine.
In summary, the expert believes that hopes for major deals with Trump are unfounded; US policy on Kyiv may change, and Europe must prepare for long-term support for Ukraine in the war. Special attention is paid to Finland's vulnerability as it borders Russia and the risks for European security if the US takes radical steps.
Portnikov concludes by urging caution against political illusions and preparing for a challenging period of European support for Ukraine.
