In a new analytical interview, the expert stresses that Russia shows no readiness for substantial negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. Kyiv currently leverages this stance to demonstrate to the US and Donald Trump that Russia is not genuinely interested in dialogue.
The significance of diplomatic contacts is highlighted: the Ukrainian delegation maintains close ties with the Americans, and a trilateral meeting mediated by the US remains possible. However, the expert anticipates that Moscow will look for reasons to avoid such talks, as the current geopolitical landscape benefits the Kremlin. The stabilization of the Russian economy is expected due to additional revenues.
The interview also touches on the Kremlin's information tactics: Russian propagandists adapt their rhetoric towards Trump depending on political expediency—ranging from sharp criticism to seeking rapprochement. The Kremlin showcases diplomatic cunning to influence Washington, which, according to the expert, appeals to Trump.
The expert also analyzes the relationship between the US, the EU, and Ukraine. The European Union supports US diplomatic efforts but may decrease its real backing if Trump changes his stance. The EU aims to hold out until US elections, hoping for a political shift. Financial support for Ukraine remains uncertain due to internal contradictions and the position of certain countries (such as Hungary).
Overall, the expert emphasizes that the current geopolitical situation favors Russia, while the West is adopting a wait-and-see tactic. Kremlin's manipulations and uncertainty from the US and EU directly affect Ukraine's support prospects and the prospects for ending the war.
