Experts analyze Donald Trump’s policy on the Russia-Ukraine war, noting that his style combines pressure, ultimatums, and deal-making. In relations with China, a trade truce was achieved, and a similar strategy is expected to be tried with Russia.
China holds a significant lever—rare earth metals—which affects US policy. Truces and negotiations with leaders, especially Putin, may follow this compromise model. For Trump, ending the war in Ukraine is tied to his reputation and aspiration for the Nobel Peace Prize, which, according to experts, speeds up peace initiatives.
Trump's circle holds mixed views on the possibility of agreements with Russia. At the same time, American pressure on China, India, and Turkey is used to influence the scope of support for Russia.
Ukraine's situation is further complicated by internal political processes, protests, and anti-corruption efforts. Experts highlight the need to balance external defense and political stability, as international aid is increasingly linked to Ukraine’s fulfillment of its obligations.
Ultimately, key decisions and potential ceasefires will be determined by external pressure, the situation on the front lines, and Ukraine’s internal stability.
