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Why the US is losing the drone war: analysis of problems and comparison with other countries


A review of why the US is lagging in drone development, with comparisons to Ukraine, China, Turkey, and Israel.

The war in Ukraine has been revolutionary in many ways. Due to a shortage of ammunition, Ukrainian defenders have turned to alternative tools, especially FPV drones. The American military doctrine has become a bottleneck for innovation, a fact highlighted by experts amidst the war in Ukraine.

Ukrainian units use about 200,000 drones monthly, adapting rapidly to new threats. In contrast, the US faces years-long bureaucratic procurement processes even for basic commercial drones. The price difference is stark: a Ukrainian kamikaze drone costs from $400, while the American equivalent starts at $5,000. This demonstrates the US procurement system’s inflexibility compared to the current demands of modern warfare, where quantity and availability are decisive factors.

The US lag is rooted in its Cold War-era military planning structure. Development and implementation of new solutions take years, while budget category restrictions add more hurdles. Losing a basic drone triggers the same investigation procedures as losing expensive equipment.

Ukraine, meanwhile, has implemented fast innovation cycles. New drones are developed in months and immediately tested on the battlefield, with orders placed via digital platforms. In 2024, Ukraine produced 2 million drones and plans to raise production to 5 million units—far surpassing US capabilities.

China and Turkey also hold leading positions. China offers cheaper equivalents with similar capabilities, while Turkey has become a global export leader in recent years. Israel’s close military-industry integration means rapid adaptation to battlefield needs.

In the US, drone development programs remain costly and slow; military versions are much more expensive than their commercial origins, and approval can take years. American component costs far exceed Chinese analogues; production volumes are low for large-scale requirements.

Currently, the US is reconsidering its drone procurement approach and looking at Ukrainian cooperation to modernize its industry. At the same time, Ukraine can use this opportunity to develop its technologies further.