Experts note that the upcoming meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin marks their second such encounter after Helsinki 2018, where similar topics were discussed. The main topics remain the resumption of economic cooperation, strategic arms, and the issue of Ukraine.
Analysts suggest that the Russian side is trying to avoid making Ukraine the central issue, while putting more emphasis on defense than the American delegation. Any agreement reached regarding Ukraine is unlikely to be decisive — at most, it could be a partial ceasefire with Putin's approval.
The possibility of a trilateral format involving President Zelensky, Turkey, or other states is discussed. Experts warn against overestimating the importance of this summit, yet it could start a real de-escalation process depending on Russia's willingness to agree to a ceasefire.
Russia's internal preparation is also highlighted: electronic mobilization, plans to increase army size, and mobilization readiness. Experts point out that Russia continues to build up its army, posing a potential threat not only to Ukraine, but also to all of Europe. Putin is apparently at a crossroads between ending the "special military operation" or escalating towards a full-scale war.
This summit is seen as a first step that may influence either de-escalation or increased conflict. The situation is affected by Russia’s economic situation as well as the stance of Western countries, especially the US and China.
