The expert notes that Donald Trump's influence on Europe is decreasing, and his initiatives for a rapid end to the Russia-Ukraine war are no longer relevant. According to the expert, Trump displays personal desire rather than real ability to end the war.
The discussion addresses whether China could play a key role in freezing the conflict through its influence on Europe. However, the expert finds closer ties between Europe and China unlikely—the EU remains united with the US in its anti-China policy, despite some rhetorical support from certain European leaders for Beijing.
The analyst believes China indeed has a decisive impact on the course of the war, as Russia is significantly dependent on Chinese support. The article emphasizes that only if China reduces its support for Russia could the conflict end quickly.
The article highlights close coordination between Europe and the US, who pursue a joint anti-China policy. All EU security strategies consider the China factor and include elements for diversifying supply chains to reduce dependence on China. Europe and the US are mutually dependent, which limits their risk-taking vis-à-vis China.
The economic aspect is also explored: the EU seeks to source components not only from China, but from India, Vietnam, Taiwan, and others to reduce risks. The author notes that, for Europe, its own security and stability are the top priorities, with Ukraine often serving as an additional factor in this context.
The conclusion is that the prospect of rapprochement between Europe and China is currently unrealistic, and the key to ending the war remains with Beijing. The upcoming summit between Chinese, US, and possibly Russian leaders is highlighted as crucial for the future of the conflict.
The article also discusses recent drone incidents in Europe and strong anti-China sentiment in countries such as Denmark. The author expresses concern about the occasional pro-Beijing rhetoric from European politicians, despite the dominant anti-China approach.
