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Comparing the War in Ukraine and the Middle East: Analysis, Differences, Lessons


Analysis of differences between the war in Ukraine and the Gaza conflict, key lessons, and prospects for ending the war.

The author provides a comparative analysis of the war in Ukraine and the recent conflict in Gaza, focusing on differences in motivations, the role of third parties, religious and spiritual dimensions, and international mechanisms for resolution. It is noted that the end of the war in Gaza was influenced by the United States acting as a third party, whereas in Ukraine, a military solution is unlikely—political and diplomatic processes are more probable.

Unlike the interreligious war in Palestine and Israel, the war in Ukraine has a different character, with many contradictions based on similarities between the two countries and a significant spiritual aspect. The war’s background is largely rooted in Orthodoxy and ideological manipulation. Political and economic interests on both sides complicate any quick end to the conflict.

The article analyzes the approach of global actors to modern conflicts, referencing the emergence of a new world order structured around zones of influence and resources. It is emphasized that expectations regarding new military equipment, such as F-16s or Tomahawks, have rarely changed the course of the war in Ukraine, while strategic, long-term planning is vital.

Statistics are cited regarding the impact of war on the global and domestic economies, including huge revenues for leading arms manufacturers, which complicates demilitarization efforts. Notably, only a few major conflicts on this scale exist worldwide, with the war in Ukraine unique for the permanent presence of professional armies and extensive foreign military support. The conclusion is that war will likely end only after shifts among key political players, with the main task being to develop a new strategy for a multipolar world.