In this discussion, experts analyze the prospects of reaching a ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia. It is noted that delaying such an agreement may lead to more territories in eastern Ukraine, including parts of Donetsk, Kharkiv, and possibly other regions, coming under Russian control.
Experts emphasize that Russia’s creeping advance will continue, though not as fast as Russian officials claim. Ukraine retains significant strategic resources. The outcomes of recent Geneva talks are mentioned, in which Ukraine signaled agreement on some elements of a proposed plan aligned with its national interests.
The discussion covers ongoing mutual attacks on energy infrastructure, which may affect the parties' positions in further talks. Topics such as Ukraine’s neutrality, army reduction, humanitarian policy, and the status of Russian language and the Russian Orthodox Church are also raised.
The viability of a demilitarized zone, as outlined in previous drafts, is questioned due to its limited scope and the lack of clear security guarantees. Experts express doubt about the practicality of international oversight of such a zone.
The conclusion stresses the importance of holding the current front lines rather than exchanging territory, as this could be presented by Russia as fulfilling the aims of its “special military operation.” The discussion also touches upon Crimea and other ideological issues related to lasting peace agreements.
