A Ukrainian expert analyzes key aspects of international policy regarding the war in Ukraine. According to the specialist, both Russian and Western political groups have long been preparing various scenarios for resolving the war, and some events like 'Minchgate' act as catalysts for larger plans. In particular, the analyst highlights the role of individuals such as Vitkoff, mirroring Donald Trump's approaches, as well as Russia’s attempts to advance its interests through such channels.
The U.S. political landscape is also examined—the presidential prospects of Marco Rubio and Jade Vance create internal tension, as they must balance loyalty to Trump against the risk of being drawn into scandals.
European support for Ukraine is presented as driven by self-preservation rather than pure altruism. The expert emphasizes that present European policies are based on the need to ensure their own security from further threats.
Potential scenarios involving stabilization forces from France, the UK, and Turkey are reviewed. The analysis suggests that such deployments may not guarantee Ukraine’s protection in case of escalation, and instead, a regional security alliance with restoration enterprises is of greater value.
Turkey’s balanced position, maintaining good relations with both Ukraine and Russia, positions it as a possible mediator. The role of China and its quick resolution of border issues with Poland is also discussed.
The analysis underlines the pragmatic nature of the US, European, and other international stances, which are primarily determined by national interests. Financial assistance to Ukraine remains unclear, highlighting the complexity and slow pace of international political decisions.
