Recent events show that the Kremlin is regaining confidence as it perceives Western weakness. The current US administration's approach to peace negotiations, as well as the role of Donald Trump and his team, have a significant impact on geopolitical processes.
Many in America's establishment believe economic interests matter most, overlooking historical and geopolitical motives. This is not the case for the Kremlin, which prioritizes empire and historical legacy over wealth. Trump’s team, composed mainly of businessmen, believes problems can be solved with money, but these strategies do not work with Russia.
Trump has repeatedly promised to end the war, presenting peace plans that in effect call for Ukraine's capitulation. The Kremlin takes advantage, manipulating promises and capitalizing on US politicians' personal and financial motivations.
Meanwhile, the Kremlin perceives Europe as even weaker. Examples like Belgium’s frozen assets show the EU’s lack of unity and decisiveness to aid Ukraine, which only strengthens Russia’s hand.
The doctrine of Soviet diplomacy—demanding the maximum and maintaining pressure—remains relevant for the Kremlin. Russian leaders believe the West will make concessions faster than unite against them. Trump and his circle fall into these diplomatic traps, creating more challenges for Ukraine.
Despite difficulties, Ukraine retains great defensive potential. Western support remains critical, and Ukraine consistently emphasizes the choice between dignity and compromise. While the Kremlin sees Western weakness as an opening to dictate its terms, the future hinges on Ukraine and its partners’ effectiveness and unity.
