Experts are skeptical about the formation of a formal 'coalition of the willing' for Ukraine, aiming to avoid consensus requirements typical of the EU and NATO. They emphasize the potential in creating a new military-political bloc involving Northern European countries, the UK, France, the Netherlands, Norway, Germany, and others.
Special attention is paid to the prospect of UN peacekeeping missions in Ukraine. While a UN mandate could legitimize such an operation, challenges include the influence of African countries, India, China, and Russia, which may present additional risks to Ukraine.
The discussion notes that security guarantees analogous to NATO's Article 5 remain only a concept, without delivering a full collective defense mechanism due to many countries' reluctance to commit automatically. The actual support agreed on involves different formats: intelligence sharing, military equipment provision, and the possibility of limited contingents being sent after the war is frozen.
Guarantees will be addressed through bilateral and multilateral agreements with each partner country, requiring ratification. Guarantees are unlikely to be permanent, and forming a reserve army remains highly relevant for Ukraine's security.
The debate also covers interactions with global players — the USA, China, Russia — and the likelihood of buffer zones or the deployment of foreign military contingents in Ukrainian-controlled territories. Future steps will depend on political agreements and changes in the international landscape.
