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Interview with Oleksiy Koshel: Prospects for Elections in Ukraine During the War and Postwar Legislation


Oleksiy Koshel analyzes the prospects for elections in Ukraine, risks of elections in peace negotiations, and specifics of possible legal changes.

On December 24, Valeriy Kolachuk, head of the Veza Civic Analytics Center, interviewed Oleksiy Koshel, chairman of the Committee of Voters of Ukraine and political expert.

The interview focused on the outlook for elections in Ukraine amid war and potential changes to electoral law. President Zelensky announced a 20-point plan developed with US partners. According to this plan, a parliamentary working group has been formally created to prepare amendments to election law. Elections may be held after a peace agreement, with a possible referendum regarding the status of the Donetsk region as a free economic zone.

Koshel noted that optimistic scenarios for early elections are unlikely, given Russia’s position and non-participation in the agreed plan. He reminds that the Constitution directly prohibits parliamentary elections during martial law and questions the feasibility of presidential elections under such conditions. However, political debate persists on the interpretation of constitutional norms.

Risks of including the election issue in negotiations were discussed: Russia may exploit this to destabilize Ukraine, and conducting elections could delay a peace settlement. Russia could also refuse to recognize the election results, creating additional challenges.

Another complex issue discussed was organizing voting for Ukrainians abroad. The large number of voters and logistical barriers pose significant challenges. Electronic voting via the Diia app is under discussion, but the expert strongly criticizes this option, citing cybersecurity threats and concerns about the legitimacy of results.

Regarding parliamentary elections, the idea of a one-time law was mentioned, adapting the system to postwar realities. Closed party lists and a major increase in the number of overseas polling stations are proposed. Koshel emphasizes the need for a level playing field for all parties, including new ones, and warns against manipulation and discreditation risks during the campaign.

In conclusion, the expert calls for open work on legislation and ongoing discussion of the format for future elections.