In recent weeks, Donald Trump's actions, particularly regarding Greenland, have sparked one of NATO's most serious crises in the alliance's history. Western capitals now consider creating a new, Europe-led security architecture without the United States, laying the groundwork for a broad 'coalition of the willing' that may include Ukraine.
Ukraine finds itself at the center of this process: while Trump could use critical ammunition supplies as leverage, the situation opens opportunities for Kyiv to strengthen its role in European security arrangements. The current crisis has exposed the vulnerability of Europe's security system, prompting accelerated efforts to build its own defense structures.
Several European countries, including France, Germany, Poland, the United Kingdom and the Nordic states, are exploring new formats for defense cooperation and increasing military budgets. France is raising defense spending and plans for a new nuclear airbase. Germany is turning to build the largest conventional army in Europe. Poland focuses on the "Eastern Shield" project and allocates record funds for defense. Northern and Baltic nations are signing joint procurement deals and establishing combined military units.
Political, financial and structural challenges persist: many countries' ambitions still exceed their capacity, requiring significant additional efforts and resources. Yet, with battle-hardened troops, the world's largest drone industry, and practical frontline experience, Ukraine could become a security provider, not just a recipient, in this new European order.
The new continental security system is still taking shape; questions around unified command, peacekeeping funding and crisis decision-making remain unresolved. Russia's reaction to a possible new defense bloc on its borders is uncertain. Nevertheless, European leaders show more political determination than ever, and discussions on European autonomy are shifting towards practical implementation.
Ukraine has a historic chance to play a key role in Europe's emerging security architecture, leveraging its unique military and technological experience. The process’s success will hinge on Europe's willingness to move from statements to practical steps.
