Former NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg revealed in his memoirs that in 2021 he was prepared to agree to a 'gray zone' in the Baltic States and Poland, effectively conceding these countries to Moscow’s influence. Negotiations reportedly took place without the knowledge of the Baltic States and Poland, likely through discussions between Stoltenberg and the Russian Foreign Ministry. The key reason was Russia’s proposal to roll back NATO’s eastward expansion to 1997 boundaries.
However, these countries firmly opposed any concessions, so this policy was not implemented. Ukraine ultimately prevented Russia from potentially invading the Baltics and Poland by holding the front and not allowing the situation to escalate into a broader conflict for the Alliance.
Meanwhile, resignations are taking place within Donald Trump's cabinet in the US, and tension is rising with France. President Trump has harshly criticized European allies, specifically French President Emmanuel Macron. France replied with an independent course, such as sending their own ship through the strategic Strait of Hormuz without US involvement.
European countries are seeking a new direction in relations with Iran and the Persian Gulf, building independent economic and security policies separate from the United States. This highlights a deepening rift within NATO and the EU, which may negatively affect European security and Ukraine’s support.
At the same time, Ukraine continues to develop its own air defense systems and calls on the world for support against ongoing Russian aggression, especially as transatlantic partnerships may weaken. Ukraine’s experience shows the country can act as a regional security guarantor for Europe if major NATO states fail to provide such guarantees.
In conclusion, the story of NATO’s development and its relations with the US, France, and Russia illustrates today’s complex security landscape. Ukraine urges allies not to repeat past mistakes and to defend genuine independence and stability on the continent.
