Ukraine-Russia negotiations in Istanbul have attracted growing attention in the international arena. President Zelensky announced the talks might take place on the 23rd, while Russian sources mention other possible dates, and some experts question whether the meeting will happen at all.
According to analysts, Russian leaders are displeased that Ukraine has seized the initiative. Ukraine’s strategy is to prove to the US, particularly the Trump administration, its willingness to negotiate. This could serve as an argument to increase pressure on Russia if it refuses compromise.
Experts do not expect significant breakthroughs from the Istanbul meeting toward ending the war or achieving a ceasefire. However, Ukraine hopes to make progress on humanitarian issues like prisoner exchanges and the return of deported children, or at least achieve a limited ceasefire for civilians’ protection.
Europe’s position is also in focus. Experts note that European countries are not eager to hasten an end to the war by pressuring Russia. They fear that a ceasefire in Ukraine might shift Russia’s strategic focus to the Baltics, posing new threats. The ability of European countries to defend themselves is questioned, given their limited military resources compared to Russia.
The talks’ outcome will also be influenced by US policy. If negotiations fail, Ukraine will argue for stronger US sanctions on Russia, demonstrating all diplomatic avenues have been exhausted. If Russia offers some concessions, it could use the result in its favor, especially ahead of crucial US decisions.
Overall, the Istanbul talks are only one episode in a complex geopolitical competition involving Ukraine, the US, Russia, and Europe. Ukraine’s main tasks are to resolve key humanitarian issues and secure further Western military support to achieve a decisive defeat of Russia and force genuine negotiations.
