On August 7, the Center for Public Analytics "Vezha" hosted an online discussion with political analyst and head of the "Dylova Stolitsya" analytical center Vadym Denysenko. The conversation focused on the potential Trump-Putin meeting, which was preliminarily announced after Vitkof's visit to Moscow. According to Denysenko, such a meeting is possible, but it requires substantial preparation and is unlikely to happen in the next few days.
The main result of the potential meeting, according to Denysenko, could be an "air truce" — a partial or complete halt of Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities. However, this does not mean an end to the war, but rather a temporary solution for Russia to win some time, which the expert points to as a key Kremlin tactic.
Addressing territorial issues, Denysenko noted that Russia will likely insist on consolidating its territorial claims, possibly by "drawing lines" on a map to mark control zones. He remains skeptical about Moscow being ready for real peace talks, suggesting that any such steps are more likely a bluff unless China exerts serious pressure.
Analyzing global actors — China, India, Brazil, Europe — Denysenko emphasized the importance of India reducing purchases of Russian oil, which could critically affect the Russian budget. In his view, India will seek compromise due to risks to its economy, while China will prefer to remain a bystander.
Special attention was paid to Europe’s ongoing trade with Russia. Denysenko pointed out that Europe’s role shouldn’t be viewed in black-and-white, recognizing both their support for Ukraine and continued economic ties with Russia.
Notably, all profits from the book "Post-Putin" by Vadym Denysenko and Vitaliy Pirovich go to support the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The book analyzes Russia’s power structure and scenarios for Ukraine in the post-Putin era.
