On August 11, the Center for Public Energy “Vezha” hosted a discussion with political expert Maksym Nesvitailov. The key topics included expectations from the upcoming Trump-Putin summit, an analysis of global implications, and the current state and export potential of Ukrainian arms production.
Nesvitailov commented that his expectations for the US-Russia summit are minimal. He argued that Russia is using the event for information propaganda, emphasizing the historical significance of Alaska as a venue. However, the meeting is unlikely to yield concrete agreements on territories or an actual ceasefire.
The expert noted that Russia has already gained maximum information advantage, while the US is not being firm enough or providing real guarantees. Nesvitailov pointed out the ongoing weakness of the West’s position and a lack of new sanctions against Russia, creating favorable conditions for Moscow.
In the global context, Nesvitailov highlighted China’s interest in the continuation of the conflict, which it uses to its advantage. He also noted that possible informal agreements between China and Europe could influence the political balance in the region.
The second part of the discussion focused on the state of Ukraine’s defense industry and the potential for arms exports. Despite demand from international partners, exports remain restricted by government decisions. Ukraine’s manufacturing capacities are loaded at only 30-40% on average, and Nesvitailov argued that controlled exports would benefit Ukraine—bringing investments, creating jobs, and reducing the cost of domestic products.
However, for now, the government maintains that exports should wait until the end of hostilities. The expert stressed the importance of societal discussion on this issue to shape Ukraine’s strategy for economic growth and defense capability.
In closing, participants emphasized the need for ongoing dialogue about Ukraine’s technological development and defense self-sufficiency.