Experts analyzed Europe's policy on China, noting the lack of political consensus but highlighting a shared economic approach. French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized increasing European autonomy in securing its own borders, indicating that European nations can manage without significant US assistance. The European Security Council also discussed Russia’s violations of Estonian airspace and ongoing hybrid attacks on Europe.
Concerning a possible freeze to the Russia-Ukraine war, analysts suggested this is the only realistic resolution scenario, potentially favored by both the US and China. China, however, remains a bystander, maintaining dialogue with the EU but refraining from direct involvement. Economic interdependence remains crucial for Europe and China, especially regarding trade, rare earth elements, and the ongoing competition in the electric vehicle sector. Europe seeks to reduce overreliance on China, balancing benefits with possible risks.
On the political front, EU countries treat China with greater criticism, maintaining a values-based distance. Ukraine remains a security guarantee for many European states, and most are not prepared to compromise support for Ukraine.
On the issue of Russian assets, Europe is debating a compromise solution: a reparations loan, where Russian assets would serve as collateral for major loans to Ukraine.
Regarding China, experts agree the country remains in a wait-and-see mode, avoiding direct participation in settling the war as long as the US is involved. The panel also discussed North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's statement expressing readiness for talks with Donald Trump, likely following conversations between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
The consensus is that China currently tries to avoid escalation in the Ukraine conflict, focusing instead on economic interests with Europe.
