The situation in the Middle East remains tense. Recent reports suggest possible negotiations between Iran and the US, with Tehran allegedly favoring US Vice President Jay Divens as an interlocutor. However, experts express skepticism, arguing that both sides' demands are too divergent for meaningful talks, and no real agenda exists for dialogue.
Analysts label the Trump administration's actions in the region as inconsistent—from troop deployments to statements about potential talks—exacerbating tensions. Most forecasts see Trump likely withdrawing from the conflict, given that a large-scale military operation in Iran could result in US casualties and a decline in his approval rating.
Within the US, criticism of Trump is mounting, especially after his party's defeat in special elections in Florida and other signals of shifting voter sentiment, which may impact the political landscape ahead of mid-term elections.
In Europe, experts note Trump's public support for Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Hungary's potential suspension of gas deliveries to Ukraine. These steps are viewed as forms of political and economic leverage, while the EU remains reluctant to fully abandon Russian energy resources due to energy security priorities.
Overall, the picture is one of political turbulence in the US, a difficult position on Iran, energy tensions between Ukraine and Hungary, and multiple regional international risks.
