The commentator’s latest message analyzes the phone conversation between Fredovych (a nickname likely for Donald Trump) and Putin, after which, it is suggested, the initiative in the war has shifted significantly into Kremlin hands. Without harboring illusions about Trump’s stance, there are some encouraging signs for Ukraine. The US is ready not only to continue the previously announced aid packages but also to supply modern weapons systems, including F-16 ammunition and Patriot missiles. This aid is supposed to arrive swiftly and include a new range of arms.
Trump’s statements indicate he wants to shift responsibility for the war onto Russia and force the Kremlin to the negotiating table. He also supports strict sanctions against countries buying Russian energy. At the same time, the bulk of Ukraine’s aid will be funded by European NATO members (5% of their GDP), and the US defense sector stands to profit from weapon sales to Ukraine.
Despite skepticism, the analyst notes a shift in tone among US officials and allies: Russia is gradually losing leverage while Europeans consolidate support for Ukraine. The central intrigue—can the new batch of aid really disrupt Moscow’s plans for a Donbas offensive and force Putin to accept negotiations?
In summary, despite uncertainty, Ukraine’s position looks somewhat more stable than before: Trump, even behind his bravado, is forced to move towards supporting Kyiv, and the scenario in which the West would “betray” Ukraine is slowly fading into the background.
