The conflict between Thailand and Cambodia has entered its third day, showing signs of evolving into a regional war. While it began as a traditional border dispute rooted in colonial-era boundaries drawn by France, it now reflects the broader global confrontation between the United States and China.
Thailand acts as a key US ally in the region, whereas Cambodia is aligned with China, which has begun to establish its military presence there. The US, for its part, is supplying Thailand with advanced weaponry. The outcome of this conflict could therefore shift the balance of power across Southeast Asia. This scenario echoes other proxy wars, such as those between Ukraine and Russia, or in the Middle East, where the US and China back opposite sides.
Experts note the fighting is taking place near the Mekong River, a vital route for Chinese supplies to Cambodia's military and for setting up future Chinese bases. Besides Cambodia, China has strong ties with Laos and Myanmar, both oriented towards Beijing. Meanwhile, Thai stability is reinforced by an army closely linked to the US.
The conflict has triggered political upheaval in Thailand, leading to the resignation of the prime minister after unsuccessful talks with Cambodia’s leadership. China is also strengthening its influence with other post-communist countries in the region, such as Vietnam.
This ongoing conflict could evolve into another protracted standoff in the growing pattern of endless wars for influence between the US and China worldwide.