The broadcast traditionally began with a conversation with publicist Vitaliy Portnikov, discussing major political events and the prospects of possible talks between Trump, Putin, and Zelensky. Portnikov noted he does not see a real prospect for lasting peace between Ukraine and Russia, as both countries constitutionally claim the same territories, making compromise unlikely.
The interview addressed alleged Trump proposals for a ceasefire: de facto recognition of occupied territories, lifting sanctions from Russia, and resumption of energy cooperation between Europe and Russia. Portnikov sees these as unrealistic, since Russia has incorporated these lands into its constitution, and no Russian government would risk signing such agreements.
Portnikov deems the probability of a return to the current war trajectory high, with minimal chances for real peace changes. He also commented on Trump’s role as a possible negotiator, expressing skepticism regarding successful agreements due to the unequal ambitions of Putin and Zelensky and the US’s lack of direct leverage over Russia.
The discussion also touched on an “air ceasefire” as a tactical agreement to limit air strikes, but warned that Putin’s unwillingness to talk directly with Zelensky is a key obstacle.
Portnikov underlined that without Western support, Ukraine cannot withstand Russia. President Zelensky’s peace-related statements are more signals to international partners than to the domestic audience. Ukraine will remain dependent on external assistance for many years even after active warfare ends.
In conclusion, Portnikov predicts prolonged confrontation between Russia and Ukraine, regardless of the Russian leader, as Russia’s imperial policy is determined not only by Putin but by the nature of state power in Russia.
