In a recent discussion, experts analyzed the likelihood of a trilateral meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump, as well as the realism behind such plans. According to experts, the meeting is unlikely to occur before September, especially given Russia's current position and Putin's focus on contacts with China's leadership.
Analysts suggest that Putin prefers to avoid direct talks with Zelensky since Russia is currently in a weak position. Contacts between China, India, and Russia in the coming weeks may affect the Kremlin's decision on participation in negotiations. At the same time, the potential role of Viktor Orban and Budapest as a meeting venue is discussed, with Hungary seeking to increase its diplomatic significance.
The experts also note the preparatory tactics of European diplomats, whose aim is to demonstrate Russia's lack of constructiveness in negotiations. If talks fail, the EU and the US plan to maintain support for Ukraine, albeit in a limited manner. Special attention is paid to Trump's possible steps—ranging from attempts to accelerate negotiations to the introduction of new forms of assistance to Ukraine should Putin remain unwilling to seek compromise.
The future of these negotiations will depend largely on China's stance, the political interests of key actors, and the domestic situation in the US in the context of upcoming midterm elections.
