Following the Russian drone attack on Polish territory, the West faces the challenge of defining its response limits to Russian provocations. Vitaly Portnikov notes that NATO nations lack a clear understanding of the existing threat, and a politics of fear—particularly fear of escalation and Moscow’s potential reaction—predominates.
Portnikov draws historical parallels with the September 11, 2001, attacks and examines how the U.S. and its allies shifted their approach afterward. He highlights that while the post-9/11 response was decisive, the current world tends to opt for concessions and conflict avoidance, especially with a nuclear-armed state.
Discussion reflects on the security risks for Europe if drone attacks persist: closing airspace, investment losses, relocation of enterprises, and soaring air defense costs are among the possible consequences for Poland, the Czech Republic, and others. The author emphasizes that Russia does not need full-scale war; even limited drone attacks can sow confusion and paralyze the West.
Comparisons are made between Western leaders’ approaches—from Obama and Trump to current reaction patterns. Double standards are apparent in the different levels of support for Israel and Ukraine. Portnikov asserts that the main problem for the West is not technical inferiority but fear of Putin which hampers readiness to actively respond—even in drone warfare.
The interview’s conclusion explores Ukraine’s prospects: Europe will eventually be forced to increase support; NATO will avoid open confrontation; and the U.S., under Donald Trump, could make decisions that benefit Moscow’s leadership.
Portnikov concludes that Ukraine must compel the West to act more decisively to ensure its own security and future. Only the absence of fear can unite Europe, the U.S., and Ukraine in confronting new threats.
