The broadcast opens with the author’s reflections on conducting analytical online discussions, the audience’s impact, and the importance of content support via subscriptions and donations. The author notes that donations are vital to sustaining independent analytical content.
The central topic is the statement about a possible transfer of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine by Donald Trump. Currently, this idea only exists as an intention and is mostly viewed as a geopolitical signal or a means of informational pressure against Russia. The author recalls that previous expectations regarding new weapons—such as Storm Shadow, F-16s, and Ukrainian-made Flamingos—often did not bring decisive changes to the war’s trajectory. Even if Ukraine receives long-range Western weapons, the response from Russia may be symmetrical, escalating the conflict further. Special attention is given to the risk of super-escalation through Russian strikes, particularly via the “Oreshnik.”
In the analytical section, global and Western trends are reviewed. The author argues that a strategic error for Ukraine was trying to ‘capsule’ the war as a purely local issue. The war has become a proxy conflict embedded within a broad international context, with developments in China or EU elections sometimes having more impact than battlefield events.
Growing Ukrainoscepticism within European electoral discourse is highlighted. The ‘support-but-without-breakthrough’ approach is described as increasingly prevalent, while right-wing populism and national interests are shifting the EU’s focus away from active support for Ukraine.
The philosophical section analyzes societal attitudes toward war in Ukraine. The author critiques excessive collective ritualism, memorialization, and the thanatological culture, emphasizing the need to reevaluate the value of human life and to reject the glorification of war. Parallels are drawn between collective memory and Soviet-era rituals, noting that the modern world is based on different values.
The author concludes that ending the war will require a rethinking of values, not just a victory at the front. Readers are encouraged to maintain individuality in a collective environment and to seek strategic, not just short-term, solutions.
