On October 9, political analyst Ihor Chalenko discussed on Klychokta channel the escalation between the United States and Venezuela. Donald Trump introduced new sanctions, ordered an end to talks with Caracas, and authorized military actions against drug cartels in Latin America. The US also increased its military presence in the Caribbean Sea, where attacks on suspicious vessels have already resulted in civilian casualties.
In response, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro declared a state of emergency, gaining full control over the military, ports, and oil sector. Venezuela is boosting military readiness and has secured new agreements with Russia, with additional support from China and Iran.
The situation has a deep historical background. Since the late 1990s, US-Venezuela relations have been strained due to oil nationalization, accusations of drug trafficking, and repeated US sanctions. In 2019, Washington recognized opposition leader Juan Guaidó, further worsening relations. With Joe Biden in office, there were attempts at dialogue, but the results of Venezuela’s 2024 elections were not recognized by the US, and sanctions resumed.
Currently, the US holds significant military advantages, with bases in Puerto Rico and elite special forces in the region. Meanwhile, Maduro is fortifying alliances to bolster defense. Tensions in the region remain high, and experts warn of the real risk of open conflict.
Oil remains central to the dispute, influencing not only South America but also global prices and political dynamics. Ukrainian experts advise following developments closely, as Russia’s support for Venezuela could limit Moscow’s resources for the war against Ukraine.
