Last night, around 10 Russian drones entered Polish airspace. This article reviews NATO's and Polish officials' response, which avoided direct accusations toward Moscow and instead emphasized escalation linked to attacks on Ukraine.
According to Ukrainian intelligence, Moscow had been preparing such provocations since July, as evidenced by Russian agents purchasing SIM cards in Poland and Lithuania. Experts see these actions as an attempt to intimidate Europe and push it toward concessions in negotiations about Ukraine. The main tactical goal for Russia is to reduce EU support for Ukraine and strengthen pressure on Europe ahead of new talks with the US.
The EU's reaction remains cautious, but there are announcements regarding the creation of an alert system and a "drone wall" on its eastern flank. European political forces advocating increased defense spendings have gained further arguments. At the same time, such escalation may lead not to easing sanctions against Russia, but to increased defense support for Ukraine.
The author argues that Moscow aims to gradually normalize the idea of a future war with Europe, testing allies’ reactions. Ukraine offers Poland assistance in establishing an early warning system. The article calls on the EU to take a tougher stance against countries continuing to purchase Russian energy resources and underlines the importance of investing in defense capabilities as a response to current threats.
According to the author, the Kremlin's goal of intimidating Europe is unlikely to be achieved and may instead prompt greater mobilization and Western solidarity. A weak response, in his view, only provokes further aggression.
