Former US President Donald Trump has announced plans to send 17 Patriot missile systems to Ukraine, with several expected to arrive in the coming days. His statement, which contrasts with some views in Germany, signals a notable shift in his rhetoric on the conflict.
Trump set a 50-day deadline for Russian President Vladimir Putin to agree to a ceasefire. If no agreement is reached, Trump stated he would impose sanctions not only on Russia but also on countries cooperating with Russia in the energy sector, asserting he can do it without new legislative measures.
The reaction among experts points to the unpredictable nature of Trump’s decision-making, with concerns about the consistency of his foreign policy. However, some see this shift as opening a window of opportunity for Ukraine in dialogues with US and European officials.
Beyond immediate military aid, there is ongoing advocacy for a lend-lease program for Ukraine, potentially enabling longer-term support. However, experts note that legislative progress in this area is unlikely in the next 50 days, with more developments possible by September.
The discussion also touched on assessments that the war could become protracted, possibly lasting several more years, with European intelligence sources warning of conflict lasting until 2030. Ukraine’s ability to resist is shaped by shifts in Russian tactics and continued support from Western partners.
The conversation referenced geopolitical responses to Trump’s statements, including China’s open support of Russia and criticism of American sanctions, framing the conflict as involving broader global interests. Experts consider China’s strategic interests and proxy involvement, noting that direct military engagement remains unlikely for now.
The situation remains dynamic, with ongoing risks of escalation in NATO countries and uncertainties over the alliance's readiness to respond. Experts conclude that many internal and external factors will continue to influence the development of the conflict.
