In the latest episode of the "Naskrut" podcast, Serhiy Sternenko interviews Valeriy Chaly, former Ukrainian Ambassador to the US, on current geopolitical trends and challenges facing Ukraine. The discussion focuses on US strategy in the war with Russia, Donald Trump’s evolving stance, changes in Western support, and the future of Ukrainian-American relations.
Chaly emphasizes that the podcast’s primary goal is supporting Ukraine’s military and security forces, including fundraising initiatives for drones on the frontline. The conversation pays particular attention to Donald Trump’s recent “ultimatum” to Putin and potential US sanctions mechanisms that could be triggered if Russia refuses to agree to a ceasefire.
Chaly notes that Trump’s approach remains consistent: exerting informational pressure on Russia and employing an ambiguous strategy to keep the Kremlin uncertain and under tension. Despite mixed rhetoric from Trump, US support for Ukraine remains stable, though not unconditional.
Economic issues are also addressed, including US aid in the form of weapons supplies, new agreements, the creation of funds, and the topic of lend-lease. Special attention is given to legal safeguards in contracts and the importance of avoiding secret annexes while preserving state interests.
Chaly observes that Trump’s rhetoric and approach shift in the run-up to elections, but key decisions are often influenced by the broader US-Russia context, international pressure, and positions of European partners. For Ukraine’s resilience, strengthening cooperation with European allies and proactive diplomacy are crucial.
The discussion also considers the potential breakup of Russia, military and economic assistance to Ukraine, the role of societal mobilization, and technology in modern warfare. Both speakers emphasize the need for Ukrainian unity and readiness, while politicians should build support from the West without relying on partner indecision.
In conclusion, Chaly expresses cautious optimism for strengthening relations with the West and highlights the need for further reforms and deeper strategic partnerships with the US and EU.
