The Kremlin's desire to annex all of Ukraine is increasingly discussed in political circles. Experts note that since February 24, 2022, Russian rhetoric has regularly voiced aims of full subjugation of the Ukrainian state.
Shifts in Kyiv's official position, under Western—especially potential Trump administration—pressure, raise concerns for Ukraine's independence. Possible agreements to "freeze" the war could lead to significant concessions.
Russia insists on so-called "Ukrainian neutrality": a ban on NATO cooperation, drastic reduction of Ukraine's armed forces, a return of pro-Russian politicians to power, and a halt to Western integration. Parallels are drawn with the 1940 Baltic annexations, which began with political changes and military bases and ended in a formal loss of sovereignty.
Western partners often misunderstand the difference between "surrender" in the context of World War II and today's realities. For Russia, the ultimate goal is not only gradual control, but the complete dismantling of Ukrainian statehood.
Ukraine seeks international guarantees of sovereignty even if the war is frozen, contrary to Russia's demands. Restrictions on Western security partnerships and sovereign decisions threaten the country's future independence.
Current debates among leaders and society show that the formal state position is shaped by public sentiment and sociological data. The outcome of negotiations over ending the war will significantly impact the region's geopolitical landscape.
