Recently, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's statement about a possible division of Ukraine into three notional parts has stirred media debate. Orban described a demilitarized zone, a Russian-controlled area, and a western part under Ukrainian governance. Experts point out that his rhetoric largely echoes Russian narratives, though he offers nothing fundamentally new.
Ukrainian politicians view such statements as attempts to legitimize the current status quo on the frontline, suggesting a possible freezing of hostilities along the contact line. President Zelensky has repeatedly stated that the Armed Forces will not retreat, and a demilitarized zone without Ukraine's consent is unacceptable to Kyiv.
Experts in the discussion emphasize Europe's passive stance, the insufficient support from the US, and the significant role of China as an external deterrent. Beijing, analysts say, can influence Kremlin policy through economic levers and raw material supplies.
Security guarantees for Ukraine are a central issue. Without direct US participation, cooperation with the EU is being developed, particularly in reconnaissance and airspace control. The country is actively pursuing diplomatic contacts at the highest levels to secure its independence.
Overcoming domestic political crises, consolidating society amidst war, and pursuing EU membership shape Ukraine's negotiating strategy. Debate continues over the return to the 1991 borders and the future status of temporarily occupied territories.
In conclusion, experts underline the complexity and multi-vector nature of the situation. China remains a key international player in compromise efforts, and Ukraine’s leadership must balance internal and external challenges to achieve an acceptable peace.
