In St. Petersburg, following Moscow, mobile internet has been disconnected, leading to a local internet crisis and communication breakdowns. Currently, access is limited to white-listed verified sites and government services, significantly tightening information control and boosting censorship beyond the levels seen in China, according to the author.
The main reason behind these measures is the Kremlin’s fear of possible internal unrest, alongside the prospect of mobilization or new hybrid conflicts, especially in the Baltic region. These restrictions are part of a broader effort to maintain tight control over society, preventing organized protests and the spread of alternative information during strategically sensitive periods.
The Kremlin has been alarmed by the recent elimination of Iranian leaders and similar incidents worldwide, fearing that such threats might also target President Putin. Public statements describe this as a “new abnormality,” accompanied by efforts to enhance state security and information management systems.
Meanwhile, Iran adopts a tough negotiating stance with the US and Israel, almost openly threatening a global energy crisis by leveraging the strategic Hormuz Strait. Iran is also demanding the return of its frozen assets from the West and increased security guarantees. While the US and Israel insist on the rollback of Iran’s nuclear program, no compromise has yet been found.
Another important aspect is the position of the West. As noted by Stubb, Europe increasingly realizes the need for greater self-reliance in security, with divisions among allies becoming more evident. Finland, the Baltic states, and Ukraine highlight the continued threat from Russia and the critical role of strategic NATO alliances. Ukraine, in turn, suggests establishing joint cooperation centers and sharing military experience with partners.
Overall, the situation remains highly dynamic. Key questions persist: will the West remain united, will divisions deepen, and will Middle Eastern escalation lead to a global economic crisis?
