Journalist, writer, and political analyst Vitaly Portnikov explains in an in-depth interview that Russia’s suspension of talks is merely a pretext, as no constructive negotiation with Ukraine has ever genuinely taken place. According to Portnikov, these talks historically served as a tool for Russia in relations with the U.S., but currently even that role is obsolete.
Portnikov asserts that true negotiations are only possible once Russia runs out of the economic and demographic resources needed to continue the war. If discussions occur this decade, they will likely focus on ceasefire terms rather than Ukraine’s withdrawal from Donbas or capitulation.
He compares the current situation with other prolonged conflicts, such as those between Israel and Arab countries, and suggests a long-standing “truce” may define Ukraine-Russia relations for years. This could hinder Ukraine’s European and Euro-Atlantic integration efforts, posing a challenge for the country.
The analyst notes that for the first time in Russian military history, Ukrainian strikes are targeting Russian territory deep behind the lines—particularly oil infrastructure and military plants—catching Russian leadership off guard.
Discussing global geopolitics, Portnikov believes the weakening influence of the U.S. presidency enhances China’s and Europe’s roles. The EU, in particular, holds significant leverage through sanctions policy and economic pressure on Moscow.
In conclusion, Portnikov emphasizes Ukraine must act proactively rather than merely reacting to Russian aggression. He underscores that, as of May 2026, Ukraine enjoys the greatest initiative since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, and Russia’s strategic position is being eroded by strikes against key assets.
