The period of heightened activity around Donald Trump’s so-called “peace marathon” is coming to an end. The former US President had hoped for a quick resolution to the Ukraine-Russia conflict, which could bolster his candidacy for a Nobel Peace Prize. However, recent developments show that Moscow is not ready to make concessions or end the war soon. Instead, Russia’s rhetoric remains tough, and initiatives for negotiations are being ignored.
Moscow interprets Ukrainian protests and domestic developments as signs of weakness within Ukraine’s government, although in reality, citizens are demanding the autonomy of anti-corruption bodies rather than overthrowing the government. A quick peace remains unlikely, as Russia is convinced of its advantage and sees little reason for talks.
Western partners are discussing increased assistance for Ukraine. Europe is forming a coalition of countries ready to send support contingents or assist financially and technologically. Nonetheless, caution prevails amid ongoing hostilities.
In talks with European representatives, Trump emphasizes Europe’s continued energy dependence on Russia through intermediaries and calls for stronger sanctions. He also highlights the need for both India and China to limit purchases of Russian energy resources, sparking debate among major stakeholders.
The US administration is exploring the effectiveness of indirect sanctions via third countries, such as India. Though these steps have geopolitical repercussions, Washington considers them a realistic tool in pressuring Russia’s economy.
The main conclusion: a swift peace is unlikely. Europe and the US are working to align on sanctions and aid for Ukraine, with increased pressure on the Kremlin seen as key to ending the conflict.
