Hungary is experiencing significant political shifts, as opinion polls reveal the opposition Tisza party leading the ruling Fidesz for almost a year. Since November, most surveys show Tisza ahead of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's party, with only government-linked polls painting a different picture.
Recently, Orbán issued warnings to his allies, businessmen, and local officials, hinting at possible retaliation against those not fully committed to supporting the party in the upcoming elections. This public address, only the second of its kind since 2018, highlights his growing concern about the future.
Experts note that while the exact numbers may fluctuate, the trend is clear: Fidesz is gradually losing its dominant position. Government attempts to improve public sentiment are hampered by economic decline and inflation. Hungary remains the poorest EU country, strengthening calls for change among its citizens.
Current polls show 51% would vote for Tisza, compared to 38% for Fidesz. The Democratic Coalition has also lost support, while the satirical Two-Tailed Dog Party maintains steady results. Such developments reflect deep social transformations.
Tisza leader Péter Magyar pledges tax reforms, returning oligarch assets to the people, modernizing education and healthcare, protecting the environment, and promoting EU integration. He promises honest politics, centrism, and alignment with Western values.
If elections were held now, experts estimate Tisza could gain nearly two-thirds of parliament seats, leaving Fidesz with about a third, signaling a real possibility of a government change and a more democratic future for Hungary.