A fierce political battle is unfolding in the heart of Europe: in mid-April, Hungary will hold elections where Prime Minister Viktor Orbán seeks to extend his 16-year leadership. Recent years have been marked by media monopolization, corruption scandals, especially in the energy sector, and controversies around the major fuel producer Mol.
According to independent polls, Orbán's party is losing ground and may not secure a majority with its satellite parties. This has intensified the political fight. Orbán is employing a 'fortress under siege' narrative, emphasizing threats from the war in Ukraine and pressure from Brussels. Former US President Donald Trump has expressed support for Orbán, while the US continues energy deals with Budapest.
Russia is also interested in keeping Orbán in power as a 'Trojan horse' in the EU. Information attacks, deepfakes, and influence campaigns target the opposition, countered by Western partners and segments of Hungarian society. Among opposition moves are initiatives for transparency, such as leader Péter Magyar publicly volunteering for drug tests.
Hungary has become a battleground for US, Russian, Chinese, and EU interests. China continues to invest in Hungary's struggling economy. Europe is seeking ways to respond if Orbán's course continues post-election, while the opposition pushes for elite renewal and de-oligarchization.
Western support for Ukraine by the EU is partly tied to changes in Hungary's political landscape. The author calls for support of Ukraine's Defense Forces during these significant changes in Europe.
