Recently, a statistic appeared online: 57% of Ukrainians are categorically against a compromise end to the war, especially at the cost of territorial losses. However, examining this number requires a broader perspective.
Most such polls are based on random mobile phone samples with around 1,005 respondents. These surveys do not include the opinions of about 6 million Ukrainians abroad—often the most active segment of society. As a result, poll findings mostly reflect the views of pensioners and women, and less so the working-age male population, which is crucial for war-related decisions.
This shapes a perception in society that the majority viewpoint is determined by this segment. The problem is compounded by the fact that those who do not take part in the war establish the highest demands for its continuation. This creates a paradox: political elites and less directly involved groups set the expectations, but others must fulfill them.
It is also noteworthy that even among respondents, 43% support a compromise, while only 17% back the most radical stance—to fight for the 1991 borders. Thus, these numbers fail to provide a clear picture of true societal attitudes.
The author stresses that, on war issues, it is more relevant to poll the resource group directly involved—men aged 18–60. Only then will decisions be grounded in reality and reflect the country’s actual resources. Currently, sociology is often used by political brands for self-legitimation, rather than instigating any genuine changes in policy approaches.
